$200B is nothing, because with the petrodollar they can just print more. But losing the petrodollar would collapse the US so fucking fast. Petrodollar means sustainable trade deficit, it means they can export all of their crises and let the manufacturer countries (Europe, Japan, China) eat the inflation as they print money. No petrodollar means rapid collapse.

Gripen can also sneak up on, out-manoveur and take down F35s btw.

Propagandist is your opinion. He’s a journalist because of the press pass that he’s holding, that’s why I used the literally signifier.

He is still literally a journalist whether you like it or not. FOX News says their content is entertainment, but I wouldn’t bring that point up if one of their reporters was violently targeted in their line of work.

He hadn’t actually flipped publicly. He just let Tucker Carlson and Dave Smith wreck Ben Shapiro and Josh hammer in front of huge audiences. There’s also reports/rumors that he reached out to Trump against going to war with Iran.

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That Europe is the big loser here is a given. Which is why Europe really should get involved, today. But I don’t think that the US is able to protect the rest of OPEC, at least not short-term. They are incredibly fragile and their infrastructure is exposed.

I think that the point for the US is to disrupt China. So that’s the point, mess up the Middle East so that China has no reliable source of oil. Next, make a move on Taiwan. I think that China understands this and will get involved.

I’m not saying I’m right here, but I used to feel that way too. I think what changed for me was when ISIL started running amok in Iraq, knowing that this was the plan for Iran as well. Now my family home, and my family, is getting bombed by an empire in its death throes.

I don’t want to die on the front lines and I certainly don’t want to kill anyone, but I will oppose with my life and my body those who victimize others, if I must.

I get it. You’re not wrong. The problem is that there are violent people out there who will take advantage of and victimize entire cities, countries or civilizations if they can. If not another state, then a straight up mercenary army of the rich.

The fact that the entire world is suddenly feeling the need to arm themselves is of course super disturbing, counter-productive and is coming at the worst time ever given that all of this effort needs to go into climate disaster mitigations. And yet, if one party feels they can just pick up territory with their superior capacity for violence, the rest of us are kind of forced to try to deter that.

Honestly I believe Iran would accept:

• Full sanctions relief
• Return to IAEA inspections
• Pinky-promise not to attack again
• Fake reparations program spread out over 30 years

The alternative is:

• The US is evicted from the Persian Gulf
• The US fucks off from Iraq, and Iraq gets an Iran-friendly government
• Bahrain gets regime change
• All goods through the strait are now controlled by Iran

The worse/better alternative is:

• Pipelines and refineries in the Arabian nations go boom
• All US/Israel trade through the Red Sea is blocked
• US is starved out of Djibouti
• Iran gets a nuclear weapon and says they’re going to “test it” on Tel Aviv unless Netanyahu sucks a donkey dick on OnlyFans

Choose wisely, pedophile scum

What I worry about is that Germany has a pathetic military doctrine and no comprehensive strategy for sustaining its economy beyond “rules-based world order, multilateral cooperation”

Approximately 10% of global trade according to the UN.

9 days have passed since my last comment. Let’s wait another 9 days and see, shall we? :)

The counterpoint here of course is that Iran might just win and expel the US from the Gulf.

Mines, USVs (the suicide kind and the mine-laying kind), UUVs, Speedboats, drones, rockets, missiles. Before you shit-talk speedboats Iran has already tried and succeeded at attaching limpet mines onto the hulls of US ships (kinda as a joke/exercise) before this.

Oh and all of this is in tunnels, not sitting around on the water surface waiting to get blown up.

If they want to protect European interests they need to kick the US the fuck out of the Gulf.

All of Europe is pretty bad on the global stage right now, but Germany is the worst.

Love to Germany from Sweden

They also export fertilizer. You know, the stuff that makes food.

Also, if they sink in a bad spot, they’ll physically block the strait. It’s a narrow corridor that’s navigable.

Summer somewhat affects natural gas. Demand for petrol and fertilizer doesn’t go down in the summer. There’s no way renewables are going to have an effect on the demand for those commodities in the next 12 months.

S:t Barth on Jan 3